Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
As of 11:47 AM, 132 voters in 24 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 157,141 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 139,413 - 191,712). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
For those of you who like tables with numbers.
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 11:47 AM | 2099 |
c(2.5% = 1820)
|
c(97.5% = 2402)
|
| 02 | 11:47 AM | 3382 |
c(2.5% = 3050)
|
c(97.5% = 3828)
|
| 03 | 11:47 AM | 2011 |
c(2.5% = 1780)
|
c(97.5% = 2528)
|
| 04 | 11:47 AM | 2034 |
c(2.5% = 1800)
|
c(97.5% = 2698)
|
| 05 | 11:47 AM | 5051 |
c(2.5% = 4533)
|
c(97.5% = 5721)
|
| 06 | 11:47 AM | 1350 |
c(2.5% = 1235)
|
c(97.5% = 1717)
|
| 07 | 11:47 AM | 1472 |
c(2.5% = 987)
|
c(97.5% = 2472)
|
| 08 | 11:47 AM | 4747 |
c(2.5% = 4373)
|
c(97.5% = 5513)
|
| 09 | 11:47 AM | 2260 |
c(2.5% = 1972)
|
c(97.5% = 2635)
|
| 10 | 11:47 AM | 2892 |
c(2.5% = 2640)
|
c(97.5% = 3666)
|
| 11 | 11:47 AM | 1298 |
c(2.5% = 1137)
|
c(97.5% = 1746)
|
| 12 | 11:47 AM | 2205 |
c(2.5% = 1996)
|
c(97.5% = 2863)
|
| 13 | 11:47 AM | 1997 |
c(2.5% = 1787)
|
c(97.5% = 2625)
|
| 14 | 11:47 AM | 864 |
c(2.5% = 802)
|
c(97.5% = 1074)
|
| 15 | 11:47 AM | 2446 |
c(2.5% = 2220)
|
c(97.5% = 2810)
|
| 16 | 11:47 AM | 1099 |
c(2.5% = 933)
|
c(97.5% = 1522)
|
| 17 | 11:47 AM | 2445 |
c(2.5% = 2165)
|
c(97.5% = 3170)
|
| 18 | 11:47 AM | 2091 |
c(2.5% = 1914)
|
c(97.5% = 2413)
|
| 19 | 11:47 AM | 1073 |
c(2.5% = 805)
|
c(97.5% = 1668)
|
| 20 | 11:47 AM | 1031 |
c(2.5% = 821)
|
c(97.5% = 1427)
|
| 21 | 11:47 AM | 5630 |
c(2.5% = 5043)
|
c(97.5% = 6427)
|
| 22 | 11:47 AM | 3014 |
c(2.5% = 2753)
|
c(97.5% = 3509)
|
| 23 | 11:47 AM | 1895 |
c(2.5% = 1623)
|
c(97.5% = 2449)
|
| 24 | 11:47 AM | 1583 |
c(2.5% = 1361)
|
c(97.5% = 1996)
|
| 25 | 11:47 AM | 1585 |
c(2.5% = 1288)
|
c(97.5% = 1982)
|
| 26 | 11:47 AM | 2161 |
c(2.5% = 1895)
|
c(97.5% = 2483)
|
| 27 | 11:47 AM | 2877 |
c(2.5% = 2217)
|
c(97.5% = 3735)
|
| 28 | 11:47 AM | 1167 |
c(2.5% = 997)
|
c(97.5% = 1610)
|
| 29 | 11:47 AM | 1134 |
c(2.5% = 1035)
|
c(97.5% = 1409)
|
| 30 | 11:47 AM | 2197 |
c(2.5% = 2010)
|
c(97.5% = 2612)
|
| 31 | 11:47 AM | 1871 |
c(2.5% = 1656)
|
c(97.5% = 2135)
|
| 32 | 11:47 AM | 1938 |
c(2.5% = 1640)
|
c(97.5% = 2676)
|
| 33 | 11:47 AM | 1700 |
c(2.5% = 1206)
|
c(97.5% = 2608)
|
| 34 | 11:47 AM | 4139 |
c(2.5% = 3792)
|
c(97.5% = 5168)
|
| 35 | 11:47 AM | 2887 |
c(2.5% = 2445)
|
c(97.5% = 3737)
|
| 36 | 11:47 AM | 3347 |
c(2.5% = 3118)
|
c(97.5% = 4045)
|
| 37 | 11:47 AM | 1258 |
c(2.5% = 1052)
|
c(97.5% = 1773)
|
| 38 | 11:47 AM | 2072 |
c(2.5% = 1909)
|
c(97.5% = 2497)
|
| 39 | 11:47 AM | 4099 |
c(2.5% = 3649)
|
c(97.5% = 4711)
|
| 40 | 11:47 AM | 4366 |
c(2.5% = 3802)
|
c(97.5% = 5663)
|
| 41 | 11:47 AM | 1772 |
c(2.5% = 1396)
|
c(97.5% = 2225)
|
| 42 | 11:47 AM | 2259 |
c(2.5% = 1781)
|
c(97.5% = 3231)
|
| 43 | 11:47 AM | 1786 |
c(2.5% = 1355)
|
c(97.5% = 2695)
|
| 44 | 11:47 AM | 1368 |
c(2.5% = 1209)
|
c(97.5% = 1814)
|
| 45 | 11:47 AM | 1989 |
c(2.5% = 1626)
|
c(97.5% = 2450)
|
| 46 | 11:47 AM | 2529 |
c(2.5% = 2354)
|
c(97.5% = 3060)
|
| 47 | 11:47 AM | 827 |
c(2.5% = 711)
|
c(97.5% = 1078)
|
| 48 | 11:47 AM | 1947 |
c(2.5% = 1709)
|
c(97.5% = 2457)
|
| 49 | 11:47 AM | 2477 |
c(2.5% = 2186)
|
c(97.5% = 3282)
|
| 50 | 11:47 AM | 3332 |
c(2.5% = 3059)
|
c(97.5% = 4017)
|
| 51 | 11:47 AM | 2198 |
c(2.5% = 1987)
|
c(97.5% = 2918)
|
| 52 | 11:47 AM | 2665 |
c(2.5% = 2411)
|
c(97.5% = 3238)
|
| 53 | 11:47 AM | 1985 |
c(2.5% = 1662)
|
c(97.5% = 2539)
|
| 54 | 11:47 AM | 1467 |
c(2.5% = 1164)
|
c(97.5% = 1929)
|
| 55 | 11:47 AM | 2308 |
c(2.5% = 1817)
|
c(97.5% = 2879)
|
| 56 | 11:47 AM | 3321 |
c(2.5% = 2727)
|
c(97.5% = 3989)
|
| 57 | 11:47 AM | 2846 |
c(2.5% = 2364)
|
c(97.5% = 3339)
|
| 58 | 11:47 AM | 4807 |
c(2.5% = 3960)
|
c(97.5% = 5731)
|
| 59 | 11:47 AM | 2339 |
c(2.5% = 2123)
|
c(97.5% = 2982)
|
| 60 | 11:47 AM | 1869 |
c(2.5% = 1685)
|
c(97.5% = 2389)
|
| 61 | 11:47 AM | 2900 |
c(2.5% = 2528)
|
c(97.5% = 3828)
|
| 62 | 11:47 AM | 2173 |
c(2.5% = 1765)
|
c(97.5% = 2828)
|
| 63 | 11:47 AM | 2686 |
c(2.5% = 2371)
|
c(97.5% = 3070)
|
| 64 | 11:47 AM | 1555 |
c(2.5% = 1269)
|
c(97.5% = 1888)
|
| 65 | 11:47 AM | 2232 |
c(2.5% = 1899)
|
c(97.5% = 2618)
|
| 66 | 11:47 AM | 4735 |
c(2.5% = 4032)
|
c(97.5% = 5556)
|
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
| 8:16 AM | 0218 | 60 |
| 8:18 AM | 0222 | 68 |
| 8:10 AM | 1810 | 36 |
| 8:20 AM | 3635 | 57 |
| 8:30 AM | 3110 | 55 |
| 8:32 AM | 0532 | 69 |
| 8:30 AM | 2707 | 45 |
| 8:32 AM | 2702 | 48 |
| 8:15 AM | 3901 | 52 |
| 8:15 AM | 3640 | 64 |
| 8:38 AM | 3638 | 55 |
| 8:38 AM | 3637 | 31 |
| 8:42 AM | 0525 | 64 |
| 8:40 AM | 0501 | 36 |
| 7:30 AM | 0202 | 28 |
| 8:40 AM | 0537 | 56 |
| 8:12 AM | 4616 | 41 |
| 8:35 AM | 3909 | 65 |
| 8:43 AM | 0517 | 69 |
| 8:49 AM | 0834 | 73 |
| 8:49 AM | 0206 | 69 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 8:07 AM | 0801 | 40 |
| 7:30 AM | 3640 | 31 |
| 7:30 AM | 3104 | 29 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 8:45 AM | 2101 | 47 |
| 8:25 AM | 3945 | 52 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 9:02 AM | 1503 | 92 |
| 7:15 AM | 0902 | 12 |
| 8:40 AM | 2717 | 56 |
| 7:01 AM | 0807 | 13 |
| 9:09 AM | 4701 | 73 |
| 8:50 AM | 0213 | 25 |
| 9:10 AM | 1514 | 81 |
| 7:55 AM | 1517 | 30 |
| 9:00 AM | 3914 | 40 |
| 8:00 AM | 5702 | 60 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 8:30 AM | 2105 | 91 |
| 9:15 AM | 2714 | 51 |
| 8:15 AM | 2605 | 56 |
| 9:20 AM | 3637 | 100 |
| 9:20 AM | 3638 | 79 |
| 8:30 AM | 0521 | 92 |
| 9:20 AM | 0532 | 112 |
| 9:15 AM | 1802 | 73 |
| 9:24 AM | 2911 | 62 |
| 9:03 AM | 0229 | 95 |
| 9:23 AM | 0812 | 138 |
| 8:50 AM | 0828 | 77 |
| 9:00 AM | 3107 | 100 |
| 9:15 AM | 3639 | 86 |
| 9:15 AM | 0120 | 76 |
| 9:30 AM | 0308 | 109 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 9:25 AM | 3610 | 84 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:34 AM | 0818 | 50 |
| 9:35 AM | 0817 | 107 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 8:00 AM | 0106 | 69 |
| 8:40 AM | 1514 | 68 |
| 9:38 AM | 6008 | 49 |
| 9:30 AM | 3636 | 108 |
| 7:15 AM | 0114 | 9 |
| 9:46 AM | 3111 | 104 |
| 9:47 AM | 0204 | 72 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 9:55 AM | 0528 | 148 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 110 |
| 9:45 AM | 0224 | 109 |
| 7:45 AM | 0517 | 35 |
| 9:58 AM | 3636 | 120 |
| 9:49 AM | 2212 | 74 |
| 8:00 AM | 0817 | 100 |
| 10:05 AM | 1503 | 129 |
| 10:02 AM | 0517 | 135 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:20 AM | 2217 | 17 |
| 8:15 AM | 3516 | 56 |
| 7:40 AM | 2105 | 45 |
| 10:00 AM | 0110 | 97 |
| 9:40 AM | 0222 | 97 |
| 10:00 AM | 2622 | 82 |
| 10:03 AM | 3006 | 101 |
| 8:15 AM | 2619 | 77 |
| 10:02 AM | 0835 | 100 |
| 10:18 AM | 3104 | 156 |
| 10:20 AM | 4701 | 114 |
| 7:45 AM | 0516 | 41 |
| 10:18 AM | 0515 | 420 |
| 8:28 AM | 0516 | 70 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:15 AM | 3641 | 78 |
| 9:50 AM | 0505 | 92 |
| 10:29 AM | 0509 | 188 |
| 10:30 AM | 1513 | 95 |
| 8:00 AM | 2113 | 13 |
| 10:39 AM | 0537 | 108 |
| 10:40 AM | 0501 | 75 |
| 10:15 AM | 3115 | 144 |
| 10:10 AM | 4603 | 60 |
| 9:45 AM | 1517 | 101 |
| 10:40 AM | 0206 | 115 |
| 10:42 AM | 0505 | 117 |
| 10:44 AM | 0834 | 93 |
| 9:30 AM | 0807 | 98 |
| 11:47 AM | 0525 | 105 |
| 10:45 AM | 0807 | 115 |
| 10:45 AM | 1503 | 147 |
| 10:45 AM | 0309 | 129 |
| 10:40 AM | 3629 | 76 |
| 10:52 AM | 1717 | 90 |
| 10:52 AM | 1717 | 90 |
| 7:30 AM | 1802 | 38 |
| 10:50 AM | 2706 | 156 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions