Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 11:47 AM, 132 voters in 24 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 157,141 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 139,413 - 191,712). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 11:47 AM 2099 c(2.5% = 1820) c(97.5% = 2402)
02 11:47 AM 3382 c(2.5% = 3050) c(97.5% = 3828)
03 11:47 AM 2011 c(2.5% = 1780) c(97.5% = 2528)
04 11:47 AM 2034 c(2.5% = 1800) c(97.5% = 2698)
05 11:47 AM 5051 c(2.5% = 4533) c(97.5% = 5721)
06 11:47 AM 1350 c(2.5% = 1235) c(97.5% = 1717)
07 11:47 AM 1472 c(2.5% = 987) c(97.5% = 2472)
08 11:47 AM 4747 c(2.5% = 4373) c(97.5% = 5513)
09 11:47 AM 2260 c(2.5% = 1972) c(97.5% = 2635)
10 11:47 AM 2892 c(2.5% = 2640) c(97.5% = 3666)
11 11:47 AM 1298 c(2.5% = 1137) c(97.5% = 1746)
12 11:47 AM 2205 c(2.5% = 1996) c(97.5% = 2863)
13 11:47 AM 1997 c(2.5% = 1787) c(97.5% = 2625)
14 11:47 AM 864 c(2.5% = 802) c(97.5% = 1074)
15 11:47 AM 2446 c(2.5% = 2220) c(97.5% = 2810)
16 11:47 AM 1099 c(2.5% = 933) c(97.5% = 1522)
17 11:47 AM 2445 c(2.5% = 2165) c(97.5% = 3170)
18 11:47 AM 2091 c(2.5% = 1914) c(97.5% = 2413)
19 11:47 AM 1073 c(2.5% = 805) c(97.5% = 1668)
20 11:47 AM 1031 c(2.5% = 821) c(97.5% = 1427)
21 11:47 AM 5630 c(2.5% = 5043) c(97.5% = 6427)
22 11:47 AM 3014 c(2.5% = 2753) c(97.5% = 3509)
23 11:47 AM 1895 c(2.5% = 1623) c(97.5% = 2449)
24 11:47 AM 1583 c(2.5% = 1361) c(97.5% = 1996)
25 11:47 AM 1585 c(2.5% = 1288) c(97.5% = 1982)
26 11:47 AM 2161 c(2.5% = 1895) c(97.5% = 2483)
27 11:47 AM 2877 c(2.5% = 2217) c(97.5% = 3735)
28 11:47 AM 1167 c(2.5% = 997) c(97.5% = 1610)
29 11:47 AM 1134 c(2.5% = 1035) c(97.5% = 1409)
30 11:47 AM 2197 c(2.5% = 2010) c(97.5% = 2612)
31 11:47 AM 1871 c(2.5% = 1656) c(97.5% = 2135)
32 11:47 AM 1938 c(2.5% = 1640) c(97.5% = 2676)
33 11:47 AM 1700 c(2.5% = 1206) c(97.5% = 2608)
34 11:47 AM 4139 c(2.5% = 3792) c(97.5% = 5168)
35 11:47 AM 2887 c(2.5% = 2445) c(97.5% = 3737)
36 11:47 AM 3347 c(2.5% = 3118) c(97.5% = 4045)
37 11:47 AM 1258 c(2.5% = 1052) c(97.5% = 1773)
38 11:47 AM 2072 c(2.5% = 1909) c(97.5% = 2497)
39 11:47 AM 4099 c(2.5% = 3649) c(97.5% = 4711)
40 11:47 AM 4366 c(2.5% = 3802) c(97.5% = 5663)
41 11:47 AM 1772 c(2.5% = 1396) c(97.5% = 2225)
42 11:47 AM 2259 c(2.5% = 1781) c(97.5% = 3231)
43 11:47 AM 1786 c(2.5% = 1355) c(97.5% = 2695)
44 11:47 AM 1368 c(2.5% = 1209) c(97.5% = 1814)
45 11:47 AM 1989 c(2.5% = 1626) c(97.5% = 2450)
46 11:47 AM 2529 c(2.5% = 2354) c(97.5% = 3060)
47 11:47 AM 827 c(2.5% = 711) c(97.5% = 1078)
48 11:47 AM 1947 c(2.5% = 1709) c(97.5% = 2457)
49 11:47 AM 2477 c(2.5% = 2186) c(97.5% = 3282)
50 11:47 AM 3332 c(2.5% = 3059) c(97.5% = 4017)
51 11:47 AM 2198 c(2.5% = 1987) c(97.5% = 2918)
52 11:47 AM 2665 c(2.5% = 2411) c(97.5% = 3238)
53 11:47 AM 1985 c(2.5% = 1662) c(97.5% = 2539)
54 11:47 AM 1467 c(2.5% = 1164) c(97.5% = 1929)
55 11:47 AM 2308 c(2.5% = 1817) c(97.5% = 2879)
56 11:47 AM 3321 c(2.5% = 2727) c(97.5% = 3989)
57 11:47 AM 2846 c(2.5% = 2364) c(97.5% = 3339)
58 11:47 AM 4807 c(2.5% = 3960) c(97.5% = 5731)
59 11:47 AM 2339 c(2.5% = 2123) c(97.5% = 2982)
60 11:47 AM 1869 c(2.5% = 1685) c(97.5% = 2389)
61 11:47 AM 2900 c(2.5% = 2528) c(97.5% = 3828)
62 11:47 AM 2173 c(2.5% = 1765) c(97.5% = 2828)
63 11:47 AM 2686 c(2.5% = 2371) c(97.5% = 3070)
64 11:47 AM 1555 c(2.5% = 1269) c(97.5% = 1888)
65 11:47 AM 2232 c(2.5% = 1899) c(97.5% = 2618)
66 11:47 AM 4735 c(2.5% = 4032) c(97.5% = 5556)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97
9:40 AM 0222 97
10:00 AM 2622 82
10:03 AM 3006 101
8:15 AM 2619 77
10:02 AM 0835 100
10:18 AM 3104 156
10:20 AM 4701 114
7:45 AM 0516 41
10:18 AM 0515 420
8:28 AM 0516 70
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:15 AM 3641 78
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:29 AM 0509 188
10:30 AM 1513 95
8:00 AM 2113 13
10:39 AM 0537 108
10:40 AM 0501 75
10:15 AM 3115 144
10:10 AM 4603 60
9:45 AM 1517 101
10:40 AM 0206 115
10:42 AM 0505 117
10:44 AM 0834 93
9:30 AM 0807 98
11:47 AM 0525 105
10:45 AM 0807 115
10:45 AM 1503 147
10:45 AM 0309 129
10:40 AM 3629 76
10:52 AM 1717 90
10:52 AM 1717 90
7:30 AM 1802 38
10:50 AM 2706 156

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions