Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 11:47 AM, 132 voters in 24 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 157,141 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 139,413 - 191,712). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward

ward	time_of_day	turnout	turnout_p025	turnout_p975
01	11:47 AM	2099	c(2.5% = 1820)	c(97.5% = 2402)
02	11:47 AM	3382	c(2.5% = 3050)	c(97.5% = 3828)
03	11:47 AM	2011	c(2.5% = 1780)	c(97.5% = 2528)
04	11:47 AM	2034	c(2.5% = 1800)	c(97.5% = 2698)
05	11:47 AM	5051	c(2.5% = 4533)	c(97.5% = 5721)
06	11:47 AM	1350	c(2.5% = 1235)	c(97.5% = 1717)
07	11:47 AM	1472	c(2.5% = 987)	c(97.5% = 2472)
08	11:47 AM	4747	c(2.5% = 4373)	c(97.5% = 5513)
09	11:47 AM	2260	c(2.5% = 1972)	c(97.5% = 2635)
10	11:47 AM	2892	c(2.5% = 2640)	c(97.5% = 3666)
11	11:47 AM	1298	c(2.5% = 1137)	c(97.5% = 1746)
12	11:47 AM	2205	c(2.5% = 1996)	c(97.5% = 2863)
13	11:47 AM	1997	c(2.5% = 1787)	c(97.5% = 2625)
14	11:47 AM	864	c(2.5% = 802)	c(97.5% = 1074)
15	11:47 AM	2446	c(2.5% = 2220)	c(97.5% = 2810)
16	11:47 AM	1099	c(2.5% = 933)	c(97.5% = 1522)
17	11:47 AM	2445	c(2.5% = 2165)	c(97.5% = 3170)
18	11:47 AM	2091	c(2.5% = 1914)	c(97.5% = 2413)
19	11:47 AM	1073	c(2.5% = 805)	c(97.5% = 1668)
20	11:47 AM	1031	c(2.5% = 821)	c(97.5% = 1427)
21	11:47 AM	5630	c(2.5% = 5043)	c(97.5% = 6427)
22	11:47 AM	3014	c(2.5% = 2753)	c(97.5% = 3509)
23	11:47 AM	1895	c(2.5% = 1623)	c(97.5% = 2449)
24	11:47 AM	1583	c(2.5% = 1361)	c(97.5% = 1996)
25	11:47 AM	1585	c(2.5% = 1288)	c(97.5% = 1982)
26	11:47 AM	2161	c(2.5% = 1895)	c(97.5% = 2483)
27	11:47 AM	2877	c(2.5% = 2217)	c(97.5% = 3735)
28	11:47 AM	1167	c(2.5% = 997)	c(97.5% = 1610)
29	11:47 AM	1134	c(2.5% = 1035)	c(97.5% = 1409)
30	11:47 AM	2197	c(2.5% = 2010)	c(97.5% = 2612)
31	11:47 AM	1871	c(2.5% = 1656)	c(97.5% = 2135)
32	11:47 AM	1938	c(2.5% = 1640)	c(97.5% = 2676)
33	11:47 AM	1700	c(2.5% = 1206)	c(97.5% = 2608)
34	11:47 AM	4139	c(2.5% = 3792)	c(97.5% = 5168)
35	11:47 AM	2887	c(2.5% = 2445)	c(97.5% = 3737)
36	11:47 AM	3347	c(2.5% = 3118)	c(97.5% = 4045)
37	11:47 AM	1258	c(2.5% = 1052)	c(97.5% = 1773)
38	11:47 AM	2072	c(2.5% = 1909)	c(97.5% = 2497)
39	11:47 AM	4099	c(2.5% = 3649)	c(97.5% = 4711)
40	11:47 AM	4366	c(2.5% = 3802)	c(97.5% = 5663)
41	11:47 AM	1772	c(2.5% = 1396)	c(97.5% = 2225)
42	11:47 AM	2259	c(2.5% = 1781)	c(97.5% = 3231)
43	11:47 AM	1786	c(2.5% = 1355)	c(97.5% = 2695)
44	11:47 AM	1368	c(2.5% = 1209)	c(97.5% = 1814)
45	11:47 AM	1989	c(2.5% = 1626)	c(97.5% = 2450)
46	11:47 AM	2529	c(2.5% = 2354)	c(97.5% = 3060)
47	11:47 AM	827	c(2.5% = 711)	c(97.5% = 1078)
48	11:47 AM	1947	c(2.5% = 1709)	c(97.5% = 2457)
49	11:47 AM	2477	c(2.5% = 2186)	c(97.5% = 3282)
50	11:47 AM	3332	c(2.5% = 3059)	c(97.5% = 4017)
51	11:47 AM	2198	c(2.5% = 1987)	c(97.5% = 2918)
52	11:47 AM	2665	c(2.5% = 2411)	c(97.5% = 3238)
53	11:47 AM	1985	c(2.5% = 1662)	c(97.5% = 2539)
54	11:47 AM	1467	c(2.5% = 1164)	c(97.5% = 1929)
55	11:47 AM	2308	c(2.5% = 1817)	c(97.5% = 2879)
56	11:47 AM	3321	c(2.5% = 2727)	c(97.5% = 3989)
57	11:47 AM	2846	c(2.5% = 2364)	c(97.5% = 3339)
58	11:47 AM	4807	c(2.5% = 3960)	c(97.5% = 5731)
59	11:47 AM	2339	c(2.5% = 2123)	c(97.5% = 2982)
60	11:47 AM	1869	c(2.5% = 1685)	c(97.5% = 2389)
61	11:47 AM	2900	c(2.5% = 2528)	c(97.5% = 3828)
62	11:47 AM	2173	c(2.5% = 1765)	c(97.5% = 2828)
63	11:47 AM	2686	c(2.5% = 2371)	c(97.5% = 3070)
64	11:47 AM	1555	c(2.5% = 1269)	c(97.5% = 1888)
65	11:47 AM	2232	c(2.5% = 1899)	c(97.5% = 2618)
66	11:47 AM	4735	c(2.5% = 4032)	c(97.5% = 5556)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data

Time of Vote	Precinct	Voter Number
7:10 AM	5107	2
7:41 AM	0537	24
7:42 AM	0501	14
7:43 AM	0828	33
7:03 AM	2714	2
7:40 AM	1508	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:25 AM	0214	16
7:56 AM	3636	33
7:13 AM	0218	9
8:07 AM	4603	27
8:16 AM	0218	60
8:18 AM	0222	68
8:10 AM	1810	36
8:20 AM	3635	57
8:30 AM	3110	55
8:32 AM	0532	69
8:30 AM	2707	45
8:32 AM	2702	48
8:15 AM	3901	52
8:15 AM	3640	64
8:38 AM	3638	55
8:38 AM	3637	31
8:42 AM	0525	64
8:40 AM	0501	36
7:30 AM	0202	28
8:40 AM	0537	56
8:12 AM	4616	41
8:35 AM	3909	65
8:43 AM	0517	69
8:49 AM	0834	73
8:49 AM	0206	69
8:50 AM	0828	77
8:07 AM	0801	40
7:30 AM	3640	31
7:30 AM	3104	29
8:50 AM	0213	25
8:40 AM	2717	56
8:45 AM	2101	47
8:25 AM	3945	52
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
9:02 AM	1503	92
7:15 AM	0902	12
8:40 AM	2717	56
7:01 AM	0807	13
9:09 AM	4701	73
8:50 AM	0213	25
9:10 AM	1514	81
7:55 AM	1517	30
9:00 AM	3914	40
8:00 AM	5702	60
8:30 AM	2105	91
8:30 AM	2105	91
9:15 AM	2714	51
8:15 AM	2605	56
9:20 AM	3637	100
9:20 AM	3638	79
8:30 AM	0521	92
9:20 AM	0532	112
9:15 AM	1802	73
9:24 AM	2911	62
9:03 AM	0229	95
9:23 AM	0812	138
8:50 AM	0828	77
9:00 AM	3107	100
9:15 AM	3639	86
9:15 AM	0120	76
9:30 AM	0308	109
9:30 AM	0807	98
9:25 AM	3610	84
9:34 AM	0818	50
9:34 AM	0818	50
9:35 AM	0817	107
8:40 AM	1514	68
8:00 AM	0106	69
8:40 AM	1514	68
9:38 AM	6008	49
9:30 AM	3636	108
7:15 AM	0114	9
9:46 AM	3111	104
9:47 AM	0204	72
9:50 AM	0505	92
9:55 AM	0528	148
9:45 AM	0224	110
9:45 AM	0224	109
7:45 AM	0517	35
9:58 AM	3636	120
9:49 AM	2212	74
8:00 AM	0817	100
10:05 AM	1503	129
10:02 AM	0517	135
8:15 AM	3516	56
7:20 AM	2217	17
8:15 AM	3516	56
7:40 AM	2105	45
10:00 AM	0110	97
9:40 AM	0222	97
10:00 AM	2622	82
10:03 AM	3006	101
8:15 AM	2619	77
10:02 AM	0835	100
10:18 AM	3104	156
10:20 AM	4701	114
7:45 AM	0516	41
10:18 AM	0515	420
8:28 AM	0516	70
9:50 AM	0505	92
10:15 AM	3641	78
9:50 AM	0505	92
10:29 AM	0509	188
10:30 AM	1513	95
8:00 AM	2113	13
10:39 AM	0537	108
10:40 AM	0501	75
10:15 AM	3115	144
10:10 AM	4603	60
9:45 AM	1517	101
10:40 AM	0206	115
10:42 AM	0505	117
10:44 AM	0834	93
9:30 AM	0807	98
11:47 AM	0525	105
10:45 AM	0807	115
10:45 AM	1503	147
10:45 AM	0309	129
10:40 AM	3629	76
10:52 AM	1717	90
10:52 AM	1717	90
7:30 AM	1802	38
10:50 AM	2706	156

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions